World food prices have fallen for a fifth consecutive month but are still nearly eight percent higher than a year ago, the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) reported.
Its latest Food Price Index shows that the prices of five commodities – cereals, vegetable oil, dairy, meat and sugar – were lower in August than in July.
Food prices dropped significantly in July, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline since hitting record highs earlier in the year in the wake of the war in Ukraine.
The Index tracks the monthly international prices of these breadbasket staples. It averaged 138.0 points last month, down nearly two percent from July, though 7.9 percent above the value a year before.
A landmark agreement to unblock Ukraine’s grain exports amid the ongoing war was signed in July by that country, Russia, Turkey and the UN.
Rice prices on average held steady during August, while quotations for coarse grains, such as maize, increased marginally.
Vegetable oil prices decreased by 3.3 percent, which is slightly below the August 2021 level. FAO attributed this to the increased availability of palm oil from Indonesia, due to lower export taxes, and the resumption of sunflower oil shipments from Ukraine.
High price for cheese
Although dairy prices saw a two percent drop, they remained 23.5 percent higher than in August 2021. The price of cheese increased for the tenth consecutive month, though milk prices “eased” following expectations of increased supplies from New Zealand, even amid projections of lower production in Western Europe and the US.
The price of meat declined by 1.5 percent but remained just over eight percent higher than the value last August.
International quotations for poultry fell amid elevated export availabilities, and bovine meat prices declined due to weak domestic demand in some top exporting countries, while pig meat quotations rose.
Sugar prices also hit their lowest level since July 2021, largely due to high export caps in India and lower ethanol prices in Brazil.
Outlook for cereals and wheat
FAO has also issued its global cereal production forecast for this year, which projects a decline of nearly 40 million tonnes, or 1.4 percent from the previous year.
The bulk of this decline mainly concerns coarse grains, with maize yields in Europe expected to drop 16 percent below their five-year average level due to the exceptionally hot and dry weather conditions affecting the continent.
By contrast, FAO expects there will be a “negligible drop” in worldwide wheat production resulting from expected record harvests in Russia and conducive weather conditions in North America.
Global rice production is also expected to decline by 2.1 percent from the all-time high reached in 2021.